Thailand rubber production and exports forecast

Thailand is the world's major rubber producing countries, 76 of the National Fuchu 52 House of rubber plantations in the last few years of planting area in about 200-230 million hectares, accounting for about 5% of its total area planted in the area Second in the world, second only to Indonesia. Traditional rubber growing areas are mainly in southern and central in recent years gradually began to the north and north-eastern expansion of cultivation. Thailand is the world's largest rubber producer and exporter of rubber output of about 250-300 million tons, accounting for one-third of the world's rubber output. The vast majority of rubber were produced for export, the world's total rubber exports in total exports of 40-45%.

First, Thailand rubber plantation in 2006 and production profile

In 2006, Thailand's rubber plantation area of 3442 mu, more than 5.5 percent growth in 2005, of which the most widely planted in the southern region, a total of 2630 hectares, accounting for rubber cultivation in the country with a total area of 76.4 percent, flat with last year, followed by the rest of Central (Accounting for 11.5 percent, up 5%), North-East (accounting for 10.7 percent, an increase of 53%) and northern (or 1.4 percent, an increase of 102%). Thailand in 2006 and rubber tapping in to an area of 2616 mu, of which the South accounted for 85.2 percent, 10.5 percent in the central, north-east of 4.2 percent, 0.1 percent in the north.

2006 Thai rubber production 3,090,000 tons, an increase of 4% over the previous year. The yield in southern Thailand 2,660,000 tons, an increase of 2.9 percent, accounting for 86% of the country's total output, 310,000 tons in the central production, an increase of 5.8 percent, the Northeast output 120,000 tons, an increase of 26.7 percent, the northern part of the production 2708 tons, an increase of 27.1% . Rubber production in the top 5 of the House are: Surat Thani, Songkhla, Trang, Narathiwat and Si Thammarat, the House 5 rubber production in Thailand last year, accounting for 55.3 percent of the total output of rubber (see Annex).

According to the Thai Rubber Association of dynamic data, on April 11 Thailand domestic market, rubber prices are as follows: Health Film 76.2 baht / kg, plastic cigarette 78.5 baht / kg and latex 77 baht / kg (the date of the exchange rate of 1 U.S. dollar against the Thai baht 34.9 ). By the rubber market demand at home and abroad, in recent years, Thai rubber prices were rising trend in order to film on the 3rd of Health, for example, in 2006 the domestic market price for the 66.2 baht per kilogram, is a 3-fold in 2000 (see The chart below).

Second, the Thai rubber exports in 2006

According to the Thai Rubber Association statistics, in 2006 Thailand exported 3,060,000 tons of rubber total more than 3.5 percent growth last year. Benefit from the price of rubber rose sharply last year, Thailand exported a total value of rubber is also a record high, amounting to 205,400,000,000 baht, representing growth of 37.9 percent last year. As the Thai baht continued to appreciate against the U.S. dollar in recent years, such as in U.S. dollar terms, Thailand's rubber exports increase in the total amount of higher (based on data Customs and Excise Department Thailand, the Thai export of rubber in 2006 the total amount of 5,430,000,000 U.S. dollars, representing 47.1 percent growth in 2005)

China is Thailand's largest rubber export destination. According to Thai Customs statistics, in 2006, Thai rubber exports to China amount of 1,360,000,000 U.S. dollars, 67.7 percent increase over the previous year, Thailand was accounted for a total value of rubber exports of 25.1 percent. Thailand's rubber exports the rest of the main destinations were: Japan (10 billion U.S. dollars, up 32.7 percent, accounting for 18.5 percent), Malaysia (8.1 billion U.S. dollars, up 46.8 percent, accounting for 14.9 percent), the United States (410,000,000 U.S. dollars , An increase of 25.5%, 7.5% proportion), Korea (3.5 billion U.S. dollars, up 31.4 percent, accounting for 6.4 percent). Top 5 of the above-largest export destination, accounting for a total value of Thailand's rubber exports 72.3 percent.

Thailand's rubber exports of the main varieties as a standard plastic, film and smoke emulsions. In 2004 before the film's tobacco exports account for about half of that in 2004, the standard rubber exports for more than a smoke film, accounting for about 40% of the standard rubber, tobacco accounted for 30% of the film, accounting for 20% of the latex.

Third, in 2007 Thailand rubber production and exports forecast

According to the Thailand and cooperation between the Department of Agriculture forecasts, as in previous years, new types of glue-lam will be tapping into this year, will be deducted from the cutting area of the old glue-lam, in 2007 may be tapping the plastic Lin area than last year, a net increase of about 30 Mu (20 mu in the Northeast, Central 10 million), the country could be tapping an area of 2645 mu.

In recent years, due to higher rubber prices, tapping the revenue increase, rubber tapping and agricultural day-to-day maintenance of enthusiasm also increased, raising the yield of rubber, in addition to tapping the increase in forest area is expected to Thailand in 2007 the country's total rubber Last year, production will increase 2.6 percent to 3,180,000 tons.

It is predicted that in 2007 Thailand for the domestic industry's demand for rubber will reach 360,000 tons, 2.9 percent growth last year. On the international market, China, South Korea, Malaysia and the European Union's demand for rubber will continue to increase, and it is expected that in 2007 Thailand's rubber exports will grow by about 3%. Due to Thailand's rubber production growth to meet the basic needs of domestic and international market growth in 2007 is expected to rubber prices will remain stable, there will not be sharp fluctuations.