1, butadiene, styrene showed a significant rise in the near future, the production of synthetic rubber enterprises high cost of production, from the cost point of view, Synthetic higher costs and slightly lower pressure between the ex-factory price of gradually narrowing profit margins, and appear Upside down, Sinopec, China and the two major oil producing group will not always Rangli sales in the near future the possibility of jointly push prices higher.
2, the product of the three inter-related, support each other.
Natural rubber, styrene-butadiene rubber and butadiene rubber continue to spread widening.
Shandong to the price, for example: in August 2005 styrene-butadiene 14900, 15800 butadiene, rubber 15,800; in August 2006 styrene-butadiene 18700, 16500 butadiene, rubber 22,800
As can be seen by comparing the current between the three major rubber price has exceeded the rational scope of interaction between the product determines the price of the room down the current high rubber can be seen as rational and return to the rubber market as a whole The future direction the market will continue to follow the trend of balanced development. Three types of plastic must find a compromise, the balance of funds depends on the direction of the market and the cost for their real value.
3, imports significantly reduce the number of rubber, plastic made to reduce the impact strength
SBR been set apart in the near future to boost international crude oil rose sharply, South Korea and Japan styrene-butadiene U.S. 1800-1850; 1850 styrene-butadiene U.S. South-East Asia; Russia styrene-butadiene 1750 dollars; increase in July than in the U.S. 50-100, outside of the plate skyrocketing restrictions Jin Koujiao living increase in the number of imports, in August of plastic made efforts to reduce the impact of the market.
China has since last year to become the world's third-largest importer of rubber, in addition to the United States and Japan, the annual 3,000,000 tons importing rubber. Domestic rubber production can only meet 20% of the demand for 80% of the need to import, the disc outside of the domestic rubber market is decisive and has a role in the guidelines. Jiaojia the world is facing due to loose supply Jiaojia caused by the significant downturn in the disk once again reduced consumption in the short term adjustment in the city of plastic basic pattern established in the seasonal pricing and cost of parallel pricing stage, the focus of local reaction and look for the course Will be the turn of the occurrence.
The latter part of the forecast: in August the latter part of SBR is expected to steadily continue the trend in the butadiene rubber to occupy the full benefit of the state of mind under the influence of price reversal is just around the corner. After the rubber "Tianjiao gold" was a strong, to adjust the current pattern has been fully opened, and is expected to continue to fall in the latter part of the search for support to complete the final return to rationality.
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Oct 31, 2008
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