EPR: domestic demand large external interdependence

Ethylene-propylene rubber (EPR) is a 1980s variety of synthetic rubber in the fastest growing one of its production capacity and consumption second only to polybutadiene rubber and styrene butadiene rubber, synthetic 7 in the world Varieties of rubber in the first 3. In 2005 the world's total ethylene-propylene rubber production capacity of 1,321,000 tons, production of about 950,000 tons, consumption is about 913,000 tons, there have been over-supply situation. 2006 demand is expected to reach 1,013,000 tons, demand in 2008 will reach about 1,181,000 tons.
China is the world's demand for ethylene-propylene rubber one of the fastest growing in recent years, as China's auto industry, construction industry, such as the rapid development of ethylene-propylene rubber of a significant increase in demand. In 2003 the demand for 65,000 tons in 2004 to reach 85,000 tons more than in 2003, an increase of 30.4 percent; 2005 Chronology of view of consumption of 87,000 tons more than in 2004, an increase of 2.2 percent in 2000 to 2005 Chronology of view The average annual consumption growth rate is about 24.4 percent.
Limited capacity of domestic demand
At present, only China Petroleum Jilin Petrochemical has a capacity of 20,000 tons / year ethylene-propylene rubber plant in 2004 produced 21,756 tons for 2005 for annual production of 19,237 tons.
Because China's ethylene-propylene rubber output falls far short of actual demand, which had a year from the United States, South Korea and Japan and other countries of imports, and imports were growing trend. In 2003, China's ethylene-propylene rubber imports of 45,000 tons, the product of external dependence for 69.3 percent; in 2004 and further increased to 66,000 tons, 76.9 percent for the degree of dependence on external; in 2005 China's ethylene-propylene rubber, the total import volume reached 7 10,000 tons more than in 2004, an increase of 6.7 percent, reaching 80.3 percent of external dependence, 2000 to 2005 the average annual growth rate of imports was about 25%. At the same time, imports, China's ethylene-propylene rubber in a small way in exports, exports in 2005 amounted to 01,800 tons.
Prevailing market segments Automotive Industry
In 2005 China's ethylene-propylene rubber consumption structure are as follows: ethylene-propylene rubber for the auto industry's demand for total demand of about 42.5 percent, accounting for 10.3 percent of waterproofing membrane, wire and cable accounted for about 8.1 percent, and oil additives account for about 10.3 % Polymer modified or about 11.5 percent, plastics account for about 9.2 percent of the runway, and other areas accounted for about 8.1 percent.
China's automobile industry is non-tire rubber sector of the main application. China's automobile industry consumption of ethylene-propylene rubber mainly used for vehicle-heat-resistant hose, automotive sealing tape, and so on. Polypropylene and ethylene-propylene rubber modified material used in the manufacture of automotive steering wheel, bumper, instrument panel, fender and so on. In recent years, the rapid development of China's automobile industry, annual output in 2005 reached 6,150,000, ethylene-propylene rubber consumption of about 37,000 tons are expected in 2006 for ethylene-propylene rubber demand will reach about 40,000 tons, demand in 2010 will reach About 75,000 tons.
In waterproofing membrane, the EPR is the use of performance of one of the best in the coil, asphalt compared with the traditional, with a long life, strength, flexibility, water-proof and reliable, convenient construction, such as the danger of small features, Into the water to the wide range of applications for housing, bridges, tunnels, reservoirs, dams and so on the water project. China's annual ethylene-propylene rubber waterproofing membrane of about 9,000,000 square meters, the vast majority of high-grade products to be imported. In 2005 the consumption of ethylene-propylene rubber in the area of about 09,000 tons are expected in 2006 for ethylene-propylene rubber demand will reach about 10,000 tons, demand in 2010 will reach about 14,000 tons.
Additives in the oil, ethylene-propylene copolymer sticky by the thickening agent has a higher ability to have a better shear stability and low temperature resistant and anti-oxidation, is the preparation of multi-stage gear motor oil additives one of the main . In 2005 China's consumption of lubricating oil additives ethylene-propylene rubber, about 09,000 tons. Is expected in 2006 for ethylene-propylene rubber demand will reach about 10,000 tons, demand in 2010 will reach about 15,000 tons.
In the wire and cable, wire and cable in 2005 China's ethylene-propylene rubber industry demand is about 07,000 tons are expected in 2006 for ethylene-propylene rubber demand will reach about 08,000 tons, demand in 2010 will reach approximately 12,000 Tons.
In the polymer modified, mainly for ethylene-propylene rubber bumper and the car dashboard, and can also be used for a wide range of polymer modifier and solvents. China's 2005 modification of the polymer of ethylene-propylene rubber demand is about 10,000 tons are expected in 2006 for ethylene-propylene rubber demand will reach about 12,000 tons, demand in 2010 will reach 16,000 tons.
In the plastic runway, in 2005 China's plastic runway of ethylene-propylene rubber demand is about 08,000 tons are expected in 2006 for ethylene-propylene rubber demand will reach about 15,000 tons, demand in 2010 will reach about 20,000 tons .
Together with other needs, is expected in 2006 China's ethylene-propylene rubber, the total demand will reach 105,000 tons, the total demand in 2010 will reach about 165,000 tons. Although the Jilin Petrochemical will be ethylene-propylene rubber expansion of production capacity to 70,000 tons / year, but domestic production can not meet the actual needs of production, still need to import a certain number of ethylene-propylene rubber production to meet domestic demand, Ethylene-propylene rubber in the development and utilization of our prospects. Production enterprises should continue to expand the scale of production equipment, increase production and achieve large-scale operations, reduce costs. New installations of the scale of production should be 50,000 tons / year. Should also actively develop the domestic market on marketable new varieties, new brands and expanding the area of application. If the resin used in modified, high-grade sponge in areas such as molecular weight, long-chain branching structure of the peaks and ethylene-propylene rubber, and so on, the positive application of the new metallocene catalyst technology to catalysts and accelerate the single agent in China in order to maintain our country Ethylene-propylene rubber industry healthy, orderly and rapid development.