Thailand's rubber production in 2006 may reach 3,080,000 tons industry prospects

2005 World demand for natural rubber continued to grow, and the main rubber producing countries such as Thailand, while production has declined. This demand growing faster than supply growth situation, with the result that the international natural rubber prices rising. Rubber prices due to increased planting of rubber farmers, therefore Thailand's natural rubber output in 2006 compared to 2005 and is expected to increase. According to the Bank of Thailand branch Tynan information, Thailand in 2006 natural rubber output may reach 3,080,000 tons in 2007 up to 3,190,000 tons.

The weather and other factors affect the production of rubber

2005 World natural rubber usage continued to grow, rising prices of natural rubber. International Natural Rubber Research Institute has forecast the 2005 World natural rubber production at about 8,971,000 tons, up 3.6 percent, lower than 2004's 8.2 percent. 2005 World demand for natural rubber, about 8,910,000 tons, up 7.1 percent.

The main rubber producing countries unpredictable weather, with the result that natural rubber to reduce inventories, such as Thailand, while tapping the growth area, but because the weather is very dynamic and rubber production increased by only a little. In 2005, for Thailand's rubber production is for varying degrees of success, is the drought in the first half, 11 in December when the main rubber producing rubber Tynan listed on the main period of production Tynan District 8 House adhesive has suffered heavy rain and floods, Scholaris made ill, with the result that tapping rubber trees and dropped out of plastic. In addition, due to the encounter with Malaysia, Thailand, like the ever-changing weather, coupled with large-scale cultivation Jiaoyuan to higher other income, use less labor cash crops, rubber production also fell at the same time.

Tynan main reason for the decline in rubber production in addition to the changeable weather, but also as a result of the three southern border government unrest, led to tapping time in the morning. In peacetime, the southern border with an annual output of three government amounted to 600,000 tons of plastic, rubber production in the country accounts for about 20%, subject to government unrest in three southern border impact of local rubber production decreased. According to the Thai Ministry of Agriculture Office of Agricultural Economics estimates that 2005 natural rubber production in Thailand to 2,960,000 tons, up 1.3 percent decline; Tynan natural rubber output was 2,578,000 tons, up 2.2 percent decline.

Rubber prices due to increased planting of rubber farmers, therefore Thailand's natural rubber output in 2006 compared with 2005 will be increased. At present, the high price of natural rubber, which is the world's rubber consumption rising demand for the country. Thailand implementation of the structural adjustment of natural rubber goods planning, improve the rubber industry, the Government to promote Thailand as Asia's auto parts and industrial center, which will make domestic demand for rubber growing.

Summary of the reasons for rubber prices

Thailand in 2005 natural rubber prices continued to rise, resulting in the central market in Hat Yai on plastic smoke on the 3rd of the price of about 55.2 baht per kg (about 1.38 U.S. dollars), up 18.3 percent. Tokyo futures market (TOCOM) 2006 Jiaojia on 3 years is 206.6 yen per kg (about 2.1 U.S. dollars), reaching the highest level. Jiaojia analysis of the rise of reasons, mainly:

A, the world's major rubber producing countries increase rubber production is limited by drought and government unrest in three southern border, and other unfavorable factors, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia and other countries of the rubber production growth rate lower.

2, the world's major consumer of natural rubber on rubber demand growth, particularly in China, the United States, Japan and India, countries such as the automobile industry and other industrial rubber rapid growth in demand for rubber growing, world economic growth, population The growth is also driving the demand for natural rubber.

3, synthetic rubber prices. By the world market oil prices, synthetic rubber prices remain high, making the country the use of rubber in the world to reduce the use of synthetic rubber, to the use of natural rubber.

The Thai government to develop rubber development plan

November 1, 2005, the Thai cabinet meeting decided that the adjustment from 2006 to 2008, natural rubber production structure of the plan, drawn up plans to speed up the production of rubber, its main contents are as follows:

1, to increase natural rubber production in breeding improved varieties of agricultural cultivation in the park, good selection of good seedling trees, the use of high-quality fertilizers and tapping advanced technologies.

2, in accordance with the development of standards for industrial raw materials, natural rubber, the formulation and promulgation of a smoke plastic, plastic juice of the new standard, according to the international market, continuously improve quality.

3, increase the domestic value-added rubber products, to encourage domestic production of automobile tires and industrial rubber gloves, and other investments, including domestic engineering industry, rubber, rubber to increase domestic use.

4, the development of high-tech, rubber products in China to set up research and development center and test center at the same time the development of rubber-standard talents.

5, to improve the management of natural rubber market potential for the establishment of the domestic rubber market system, the development of futures markets and dispensing centers, as well as the international rubber market trade in the Office of the Deputy, with rubber importing countries.