Chinese rubber industry by pulling the world's rubber consumption to maintain a high growth

The last 3 years, the World rubber consumption to maintain a high growth rate in 2004 reached nearly 20,000,000 tons of all-time high. Of these, 8,260,000 tons of natural rubber consumption than the 4.4 percent growth last year; Synthetic 11,660,000 tons, 2.5 percent increase over the previous year, but the use of Synthetic ratio has dropped to a record low of 58.5 percent. World rubber consumption growth, mainly due to the rapid development of China rubber industry, rubber consumption in driving the increase. Chinese rubber consumption reached an average annual increase of 12% over 2004, more than 4,070,000 tons, accounting for 20.4 percent of the world.

According to the International Rubber Study Group (IRSG) forecast this year due to the stock is still adequate for the 2005 World rubber consumption will maintain a high growth rate, and Synthetic growth will slow down. 2005 World rubber consumption is expected to reach 20,000,000 tons to 20,730,000 tons, the growth rate of 4.1%, 5.6% natural rubber, Synthetic 3.0%; output is estimated to be 21,000,000 tons, an increase of drop 1.9% 1.7% natural rubber, Synthetic 2.1 percent. Rubber production and sales ratio may be reduced to 101.3 percent, or close to the production of consumption. Next year will further reduce the amount of reserves, in 2006 will increase the pressure on the market. At present, the Chinese rubber consumption than the United States, about 1,000,000 tons more than in Japan more than 2,100,000 tons, the highest in the world rubber consumption of the 10 top countries. At the same time, the proportion of the United States and Japan have moved back to India, were down 15.3 percent and 9.8 percent, Germany and France respectively, accounting for 4.2 percent and 3.3 percent. 2004 New World rubber consumption to 640,000 tons, of which China accounted for 430,000 tons. China is the world's rubber consumption market of a large force.

In 2004 the world's rubber output to 20,600,000 tons, 5.9 percent growth rate for. The 8.1 percent increase in natural rubber production, 8,630,000 tons; Synthetic growth of 4.4 percent, to 11,970,000 tons. Production and marketing than the previous year by 100.9 percent to 103.4 percent expansion, to be slightly larger than the middle class. In 2004, China's natural rubber plantation area of 620,000 ha, the yield 600,000 tons, 3.0 percent increase over the previous year; Synthetic production increased by 11.7% to 1,477,000 tons.

Although the Chinese rubber output in 2004 reached 2,077,000 tons, accounting for 10.1 percent of the world, the world's natural rubber production accounted for 7.0 percent, accounting for 12.3 percent Synthetic and natural rubber, but only to meet domestic The demand for 32% of the Synthetic only to meet the demand of 67%. In 2004, China actually imports 2,375,000 tons of rubber, accounting for 58.3 percent of the total consumption, imports of natural rubber imports about 2 / 3. China has become the world's biggest rubber importer, accounting for rubber imports and exports international trade 18.3 percent.

At present, the world's natural rubber plantation area of 10,000,000 hectares with an average yield per unit area reached 0.86 tons, close to a record high. China Natural Rubber average yield per unit area nearly 1 metric ton, higher than the world average. Synthetic global production capacity of 12,520,000 tons, capacity utilization has been as high as 95.6 percent, over the years has not appeared in over the period running high. China Synthetic main production equipment production capacity of about 120 million tons, while domestic enterprises are in the vast majority of Synthetic overload, the operation of the state of saturation. As a result of natural rubber to go through 4 to 6 years to grow into a plastic, Synthetic new 100,000-ton annual capacity plant needs 2 to 3 years, together with recent years due to abnormal weather disasters, frequent changes in the natural rubber production Unpredictable; the shortage of raw materials, soaring oil prices, so that the production of Synthetic trouble, so supply and demand have become increasingly conspicuous.

China's natural rubber producing areas experienced rare drought and typhoons, natural rubber output in the first half of only 180,000 tons, it is estimated that annual production will be reduced to 500,000 tons from top to bottom. Synthetic by increases in oil prices and raw material shortage severely affected production in the first half and only 777,000 tons, down 14 percent year-on-year, output for the whole year is expected to 1,600,000 tons. However, Chinese rubber consumption in 2005 is expected to reach 4,500,000 tons, an increase of 11% over the previous year, suppliers will become more tense. In the first half of this year, China imported 1,155,000 tons of rubber, rubber self-sufficiency rate of the year may drop 40%. It is estimated that the global rubber consumption to increase by 810,000 tons, of which China will account for 430,000 tons.

As a result, the shortage of raw rubber has become more and more Chinese rubber industry development constraints. At the same time, as China's rubber products, including shoes, tires and industrial rubber products, such as a sharp increase in export volume, frequent trade friction, many of the international anti-dumping case, tariff barriers, trade restrictions continued, and extension to expand the development of China's rubber industry Mode has been very difficult How to change the mode of production, Chinese rubber industry is a major task.